How the data set is built, how conviction and social signal scores are constructed, and where the honest limits of this MVP are.
Tilo provides research context, social signal analysis, and educational information only. Nothing on this platform is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All performance figures are virtual, historical, and do not guarantee future results.
This build runs on data generated from public sources, last updated Jul 30, 2026. Every signal links back to its original source; missing values are shown as n/a — never estimated.
9206 items were skipped during ingestion — mostly unmapped CUSIPs and non-equity 13F lines, plus non-US listings and fetch failures — and are therefore absent from the universe.
…and 9006 more — the full list lives in src/data/generated/meta.json.
Hype language alone never creates a high score. A short but precise signal from a historically strong voice can score higher than a viral, low-quality post. Engagement is considered but is never the primary factor.
Scored per individual signal
Aggregated per stock
The stock-level score aggregates the underlying signals, weighting the quality and independence of voices over raw volume.
The platform tracks Qualified Bullish Signals and Qualified Bearish Signals
A relevant voice clearly expresses a directional stock thesis with enough conviction and reasoning — a bull case, bear case, thesis change, or position disclosure backed by an argument. Concretely: a signal is Qualified at a conviction score of 60+.
STOCK-Act disclosure exception: trade disclosures (Congress PTRs and executive-branch financial disclosures such as the President's OGE Form 278-T filings) carry no written thesis, so their conviction score is a documented function of the disclosed amount range. Such a signal is Qualified when the reported transaction range starts at $50,001 or more (conviction 50+) — the flood of $1,001–$15,000 micro-trades is exactly the noise the Qualified filter exists to remove, while large disclosed buys and sales stay in.
Self-computed from SEC filings — no data vendor, no estimates
Per-stock disclosure section and the Cluster Buys Monitor
Legally required disclosures of trades by corporate executives, directors and 10% owners, filed with the SEC (Form 4). These are lawful, reported transactions — not to be confused with illegal insider trading.
The deterministic rules behind every performance number
When a Qualified Signal is created, we record the influencer, ticker, signal date, signal price, direction, conviction, source, and thesis summary. Signal performance is tracked over 7, 30, 90, 180, and 365 days versus a benchmark; windows that have not elapsed yet stay empty — they are never extrapolated.